Stock market will bull return
The stock market is crashing, slowly, and in plain view of the people who count on it most. It has permanently lowered the long-term investment projections of private endowments and pension funds.
It has sent corporate compensation experts scrambling to figure out how to reward top employees.
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While 17 months may feel like an eternity, it could turn out merely to be a prequel. The questions on the minds of investors, money managers, and corporate executives are threefold: How much longer will the bear market last? How low will the averages go?
Survey: Bull Market In Stocks Should Continue Into
And when might investors get their money back? That makes the current bear more like the one that snarled from than others of the past years.
Bernstein, a year-old market essayist and financial historian who was a teenager during the Great Depression. The market anxiety is especially high now because of the raging fire in the economy.
Waves of corporate defaults, home foreclosures, bank failures, and job losses are still to come. Stocks typically rise after that percentage peaks, according to a recent Bloomberg article. However, this signal hass turned out to be misleading. In normal times, strategists could look with some confidence to money in these accounts as buying power that investors were holding back from the stock market.
The greater the cash compared with the value of the overall market, the more impact it could make on stocks. In January the reading reached its highest levels since , says Bjorgen.
As long as investors are worried about their own incomes, he says, the money seems most likely to stay right where it is. But the bear markets during other banking crises have been brutal in their own right.
Those bear markets also tended to be agonizingly slow, taking an average of 3. Bad as that sounds, it would compare favorably with Japan, whose Nikkei index reached 38, in and now trades at around 7, That could mean two more years of bouncing around and then another six or so before the Dow is back above 14, Not long ago, such an outcome would have seemed unimaginably bleak. When will the bull return?
Stock market outlook for - Business Insider
Polls still show the President has strong popularity among the general U. But among investors, fairly or unfairly, there is griping that the new Obama Administration is at least partly to blame for the recent slide in stocks. Plenty of other factors have influenced stock prices since November. For example, the global economy has slowed further and the outlook for corporate profits has worsened.
But BusinessWeek interviewed a wide array of investment professionals, and many said the first six weeks of the Obama Administration have soured their outlook on the stock market. Investors who have either the enterprise or the money to invest now, somewhere near the bottom, are likely to prevail over those who wait for the bottom and miss it.
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